Bear Markets Aren’t Always Bad

A bear market isn’t always a bad thing. Sometimes it’s best to embrace the bear. It can stimulate us to change our lives for the better.

Source: Kris Anka

An Animated Ponzi

This animation was commissioned by Warner Bros. as part of the bonus features on their ‘Ocean’s 13′ DVD release. Concept and animation by Wes Ball and Justin Barber, with work in After Effects and Lightwave 3D.

Source: Strike Anywhere Films and Oddball Animation

No One Would Listen

I just finished reading Harry Markopolos’s book, No One Would Listen: A True Financial Thriller. As promised, let me give you my thoughts about it.

For those unfamiliar with American financial hero, Harry Markopolos, he’s the mathematician, derivatives quant, and former securities industry executive turned whistleblower, whom uncovered Bernie Madoff’s $60 billion Ponzi scheme in it’s infancy, eight-years before the financial crisis eventually forced Madoff to turn himself in to authorities.

On five separate occasions, Markopolos and his team provided irrefutable evidence of Madoff’s Ponzi scheme to the SEC, but he was unbelievably dismissed on each and every occasion. Markopolos even tried reporting evidence of Madoff’s Ponzi scheme to other agencies and the financial media, but unfortunately, not one of them would listen either.

Appropriately titled, No One Would Listen is his account of how he and his team initially discovered Madoff’s Ponzi scheme, their ongoing investigation and documentation of his scheme, and how his heroism and persistence to do the right thing negatively-affected his personal life.

Here’s a short video of him describing his own book.

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While it goes without saying that Harry Markopolos is a hero, and that we all owe him a debt of gratitude for uncovering the worthlessness of the SEC, but his book was a difficult read for me towards the end.

The first half of No One Would Listen went along smoothly while Markopolos detailed just how he and his team uncovered Madoff’s Ponzi scheme, how they gathered the evidence, and the numerous difficulties they encountered while trying to report Madoff’s scheme to others. Again, no one would listen.

The story further reveals just how powerful the quest for alpha is in the financial industry, and how it causes money managers look the other way, do things they wouldn’t ordinarily do, or to dismiss the obvious.

But as I progressed into the second half of the book, it became repetitive and boring. I had difficulty finishing it. The first half of the book already sold me on the SEC’s incompetence, ineptitude and possible corruption. There was no need to continually rehash the same topic over and over.

It also seemed to me that the second half of the book was written as a marketing tool for his new whistleblower business. There’s no doubt that Mr. Markopolos is honest, ethical, and an expert at uncovering fraud. There is no one that deserves to profit more than Mr. Markopolos for uncovering the fraud that steals our life savings. His success is our success.

But – using a metaphor that Mr. Markopolos might use – please, don’t blow smoke up my ass and call it incense.

I’m convinced that Mr. Markopolos believes the SEC to be a useless organization, designed to use taxpayer dollars for the purposes of serving the industry instead of protecting the American investing public – and I agree with him. I like his in-your-face honesty and bluntness in describing the SEC, they deserve it.

But in the second half of the book, it seems as though he’s ingratiating himself to Mary Schapiro and her colleagues in order to gain a foothold into any potential whistleblower consultant work from the government. It also seems as though he was lying about his feelings on a few occasions in order to be more politically-correct. I prefer his tell-it-like-it-is approach.

I can’t fault him though. I’m sure that he needs the income. His Madoff whistleblower investigation cost him dearly and he should be rewarded for doing the right thing, and after suffering for so long. I can also understand that he needs to keep his friends in the financial industry in order to help him with his investigations, so I can see why he would bite his tongue.

But, while I support his endeavors to catch white-collar criminal scum, I’m not a potential client. I’m not interested in, nor responsible for, implementing corporate fraud prevention. His advice for preventing future fraud is priceless, but I don’t need to know the minute details. So, I found the second half of the book boring and a bit self-serving. It was hard to stay interested.

I would have been more interested in reading about how these events personally affected his wife, his children, his family or the others on his team. IMO, his biggest debt of gratitude should be toward his wife, who supported him both emotionally and financially throughout the whole ordeal. I would have liked to read about her side of the story.

Regardless of the book’s shortcomings, I would still recommend reading it.

After reading No One Would Listen, most rational individual investors should be convinced that it’s in their own best interests to manage their own money, and to invest their long-term savings into a diversified, low-cost index fund portfolio through a reputable and insured investment firm, like The Vanguard Group.

Harry Markopolos even describes the success of this strategy himself on page 42 in his book -

“..We would buy the entire index, all the stocks, and what we had discovered over time was that this strategy gave us about two-thirds of the market’s return with one-third the risk”..

Wall Street Warfighters

The non-profit organization Wall Street Warfighters trains disabled combat veterans for careers in the fast paced world of high finance. Wall Street Warfighters is open to all U.S. military veterans who have experienced physical or combat-stress related injuries while serving on active duty and who qualify for federal or state service-related disability benefits.

Except for the pharmaceutical industry, I can’t think of an industry where we need more heroes. Think you qualify?

Contact Wall Street Warfighters today.

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FDIC Insurance Coverage Permanent

According to an FDIC press release today, basic FDIC insurance coverage is permanently increased to $250,000 per depositor -

On July 21, 2010, President Barack Obama signed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which, in part, permanently raises the current standard maximum deposit insurance amount to $250,000. The standard maximum insurance amount of $100,000 had been temporarily raised to $250,000 until December 31, 2013. The FDIC insurance coverage limit applies per depositor, per insured depository institution for each account ownership category.

The temporary increase from $100,000 to $250,000 was effective from October 3, 2008, through December 31, 2010. On May 20, 2009, the temporary increase was extended through December 31, 2013.

“With this permanent increase of deposit insurance coverage to $250,000, depositors with CDs above $100,000 but below $250,000 will no longer have to worry about losing coverage on those CDs maturing beyond 2013.

This new law also makes permanent the $250,000.00 max share insurance coverage provided by the National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund, or NCUSIF, for credit union members.

Hat tip: DepositAccounts Blog

Financial Regulation Reform

Funny how all of these things happened “unintentionally of course” around the same time in the last three months, huh?

  1. On April 16th, SEC charges Goldman Sachs with fraud in structuring and marketing of CDO tied to subprime mortgages.
  2. Within a few days of this indictment, the BP explosion and resulting Gulf oil leak occurs.
  3. The cause of this explosion has yet to be determined.
  4. On May 6th, the flash-crash hit the markets.
  5. SEC investigations fail to determine a cause for the flash-crash.
  6. After less than 90 days, on July 15th, the SEC announces a civil settlement with Goldman Sachs.
  7. Coincidentally, the next day BP announces that it’s successfully capped the leaking Gulf oil well.
  8. Also coincidentally on the same exact day, Congress just happens to announce passage of the Financial Regulation Reform Bill.

It’s almost like these events were scripted months in advance.

Now that the Financial Reform Bill (pdf) is about to be signed into law, SEC Chairwoman, Mary Schapiro testified before the House Financial Services Subcommittee today about the SEC’s regulatory reforms that are designed to “protect” us average Americans. Here’s a link to her testimony (pdf).

Soon enough, Ms. Schapiro will be heralded as the savior of SEC, and grand protector of the American investor. That news will be the crowning touch in my previous theories about who’s really running the show.

So, except for this post, I won’t be addressing much of what occurs with financial and regulatory reform on Guzzo the Contrarian because I believe that this is all just one big show, performed to pull the wool over our eyes so that we don’t lose faith in a system specifically designed to enrich those in charge at our expense. It’s all a moot point.

But, for those who disagree with my views and opinions, here’s a good local review of financial regulatory reform from the AZPBS KAET television show, Horizon. Wayne Stutzer, Senior Vice President and Financial Consultant for RBC Wealth Management, discusses the federal financial reform legislation.

Wayne is a popular financial guru in the Phoenix metropolitan area, and a likable enough fellow. He’s knowledgeable, speaks well and is entertaining to watch, but I don’t always agree with his assessments.

For example, I believe the “average Joe investor” to be the working person whom continually invests in their company-sponsored retirement plan regardless of what happens with the economy or the stock markets.

As such, the average Joe investor hasn’t changed anything in their portfolios with regards to market-timing, and has “stayed the course” throughout the painful market ordeals of the last few years. They’re not sitting fearfully on the sidelines with a “wait-and-see” approach.

Bear