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	<title>Guzzo the Contrarian &#187; Market Timing</title>
	<atom:link href="http://guzzothecontrarian.com/category/market-timing/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com</link>
	<description>One Man's Quest to Conquer the Markets</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 23:48:37 +0000</pubDate>
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			<item>
		<title>403(b) Plan Redux</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/11/12/403b-plan-redux/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/11/12/403b-plan-redux/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 23:37:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[403b]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[retirement portfolio]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guzzothecontrarian.com/?p=2147</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve got some good news and some bad news.
The good news is that the current bear market is still in effect and stock prices are dropping. In my masochistic view of the stock market, the longer the market stays down, the more the opportunities for me to buy stocks at significant discounts.
The bad news is [...]]]></description>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>403(b) Plan Portfolio Update</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/10/22/403b-plan-portfolio-update/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/10/22/403b-plan-portfolio-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 01:52:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[403b]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[mutual funds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[retirement portfolio]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guzzothecontrarian.com/?p=1855</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I moved my entire 403(b) plan portfolio from the safety of a money-market mutual fund and into stock market funds, just before market close today.
I&#8217;m still of the opinion that we are closer to a market bottom, than farther from a market bottom. Around 3:30pm (EST), I could see that the market would close near [...]]]></description>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Market Capitulation</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/09/29/market-capitulation/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/09/29/market-capitulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Sep 2008 02:49:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[contrarian indicator]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[speculation]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guzzothecontrarian.com/?p=1333</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The House of Representatives surprisingly rejected the current version of the Wall Street bailout plan today and the markets reacted accordingly.
The Dow Jones Industrial Index and S&#38;P 500 Index both closed today with their worst point drop EVER. The S&#38;P 500 also ended the day with it&#8217;s largest percentage loss since the 1987 Black Monday [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/09/29/market-capitulation/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Junk Bonds as Market Indicator</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/08/07/junk-bonds-as-market-indicator/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/08/07/junk-bonds-as-market-indicator/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Aug 2008 19:26:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Bond Market]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[junk bonds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[VWEHX]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://guzzothecontrarian.com/?p=695</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve been in a 100% cash position with my retirement portfolio for a while now and I&#8217;ve been asked a &#8220;couple&#8221; of times (I don&#8217;t get a lot of readership), how will I know when it&#8217;s time to &#8220;get back in&#8221;?
 Of course, I don&#8217;t have the precise answer people are looking for, or even [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/08/07/junk-bonds-as-market-indicator/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Weekly Wrap</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/06/21/weekly-wrap-2/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/06/21/weekly-wrap-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Jun 2008 04:02:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[back in black]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rationalspeculation.com/2008/06/21/weekly-wrap-2/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think Reuters.com posted a good evaluation of stock market performance this past week.
 Stocks fell sharply on Friday with the Dow closing below 12,000 for the first time since mid-March as rising oil prices and warnings of more mortgage-related write-downs at banks reignited investor fears of worse to come.
For the week the Dow ended [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/06/21/weekly-wrap-2/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Market Indecision Revisited</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/05/18/market-indecision-revisited/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/05/18/market-indecision-revisited/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 May 2008 17:06:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Commentary]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[market indecision]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rationalspeculation.com/2008/05/18/market-indecision-revisited/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I guess the Weekly Wrap at Briefing.com sums up this week pretty well:
 Oil prices came within a hair of $128 this week, industrial production was reported to have declined 0.7% in April, Moody&#8217;s expressed new concerns about the financial strength of the bond insurers, Fed Chairman Bernanke said conditions in the financial markets are [...]]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/05/18/market-indecision-revisited/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>April Update</title>
		<link>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/04/29/april-update/</link>
		<comments>http://guzzothecontrarian.com/2008/04/29/april-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2008 05:37:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Economic]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Market Timing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[no satisfaction]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[video]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rationalspeculation.com/2008/04/29/april-update/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[April is almost over and things haven&#8217;t panned out as I thought they would.
It wouldn&#8217;t be right if I didn&#8217;t own up to being wrong about my last couple of forecasts. Plus, how could I bash the experts if I hypocritically excluded my own faults? So, let me highlight my mistakes:
1. About a month ago [...]]]></description>
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